存檔

入場

1.11694

停損

1.12011

停利

1.11061

1. 14-hour trend is bearish: EMA20 1.11987 versus EMA50 1.11988, ADX 18.4. Daily bias EMA50 1.13030 is below EMA200 1.14662 and EMA20 1.12143 is below EMA50. Last price 1.11694 is below daily EMA20.
2. 24H RSI(14) is 42.7, inside the SELL band 35–60. The band excludes overbought and oversold extremes.
3. 34H MACD line is -0.000174, signal line -0.000067, histogram -0.000107. The histogram agrees with the bearish direction.
4. 4The nearest 4H swing resistance is 1.11719, 2.5 pips above the entry. The stop is placed beyond it. 4H ATR(14) is 0.00264 (26.4 pips). Stop 31.7 pips, target 63.3 pips, reward-to-risk 1:2.00.
5. 5Policy rates: EUR 2.65% versus USD 4.00% (gap -1.35 points). Change over the last 120 days: EUR +25 bp, USD +25 bp. That gap and its change agree with the SELL.
6. 6High-impact surprise sum over the last 8 trading days: EUR +1.18 from 3 prints, USD +1.99 from 8. That favours the SELL. Largest comparable print: EUR GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash actual 0.4 versus forecast 0.2 (signed surprise +1.00). Headline tone EUR n/a from 0 scored headlines, USD +0.83 from 12. Next high-impact event: USD Existing Home Sales in 42.5 hours. Sample headline (ActionForex): Fed’s Waller Backs December Hike, Says 50bps Should Be Considered if Inflation Stays Hot. Sources: Yahoo Finance, Forex Factory, TradingView, ForexLive, Investing.com Forex, Investing.com Economy, Investing.com Opinion, ActionForex.

1. 2026-11-11 05:03 · 1.11719 · -2.5

   Price 1.11719 is still below the daily EMA50 saved at entry (1.13030). Floating -2.5 pips, -3.9% of the way to the target, 29.2 pips from the stop. 1-hour RSI is 40.0. Next high-impact release: USD Core PPI m/m in 59.4 hours. The original plan is unchanged: target and stop stay where they were set.

2. 2026-11-11 09:28 · 1.11632 · +6.2

   Price 1.11632 is still below the daily EMA50 saved at entry (1.13030). Floating +6.2 pips, 9.8% of the way to the target, 37.9 pips from the stop. 1-hour RSI is 36.4. Next high-impact release: USD Core PPI m/m in 55.0 hours. The original plan is unchanged: target and stop stay where they were set.

3. 2026-11-11 17:55 · 1.11074 · +62.0

   Price 1.11074 is still below the daily EMA50 saved at entry (1.13030). Floating +62.0 pips, 97.9% of the way to the target, 93.7 pips from the stop. 1-hour RSI is 16.7. Next high-impact release: USD Core PPI m/m in 46.6 hours. The original plan is unchanged: target and stop stay where they were set.